Signals vs Noise Article







December 2003 Stock Report

Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
GENOME THERAPEUTICS CORP $3.13 78% 148% $98 $27 $72 $15 152 $0.5 -$55.6 0.5 3.5
HUMAN GENOME SCIENCES $13.25 74% 41% $1,712 $1,152 $560 $503 1086 $0.5 -$189.2 6.1 1.0
INCYTE CORP $6.84 94% 37% $496 $349 $146 $172 585 $0.2 -$107.2 3.3 0.7
MILLENNIUM PHARMACEUTICALS $18.65 100% 118% $5,619 $1,545 $4,074 $83 2079 $2.0 -$428.0 3.6 1.3
MYRIAD GENETICS $12.86 70% -14% $348 $86 $262 $0 491 $0.5 -$28.4 3.0 1.3
1st Generation Genomics Average   83% 66% $1,655 $632 $1,023 $155   $0.7 -$161.7 3.3 1.6
1st Generation Genomics Median   78% 41% $496 $349 $262 $83   $0.5 -$107.2 3.3 1.3
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
ACLARA BIOSCIENCES $3.65 78% 70% $131 $79 $52 $0 95 $0.5 -$20.4 3.9 0.5
AFFYMETRIX $24.61 82% 3% $1,460 $434 $1,026 $369 877 $1.2 na na 4.1
CALIPER TECHNOLOGIES $6.66 93% 116% $188 $134 $53 $1 251 $0.2 -$38.2 3.5 0.7
CEPHEID $9.58 100% 74% $344 $11 $333 $0 148 $2.2 -$17.7 0.6 3.9
CIPHERGEN BIOSYSTEMS $11.43 82% 227% $330 $21 $309 $30 323 $1.0 -$62.4 0.3 1.9
COMBIMATRIX $3.35 66% na $88 $43 $45 $0 14 na -$26.7 na na
COMPUGEN $5.05 80% 166% $133 na na $0 176 na -$12.8 na na
ILLUMINA $7.05 78% 127% $232 $55 $177 $25 233 $0.8 -$22.0 2.5 3.6
NANOGEN $9.01 100% 497% $220 $30 $190 $0 195 $1.0 -$27.6 1.1 1.1
ORCHID BIOSCIENCES $1.85 93% 293% $139 $4 na $2 492 na -$40.8 na 0.4
SEQUENOM $3.20 76% 88% $128 $75 $53 $10 216 $0.2 -$37.4 2.0 0.3
TRANSGENOMIC $2.02 48% -17% $51 $3 $48 $1 326 $0.1 -$14.4 0.2 0.4
Genomic Supply Average   81% 149% $287 $81 $229 $37   $0.8 -$29.1 1.8 1.7
Genomic Supply Median   81% 116% $163 $43 $115 $1   $0.8 -$26.7 1.5 0.9
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
APPLIED MOLECULAR EVOLUTION $17.83 99% 733% $374 $53 $321 $10 106 $3.0 -$22.8 2.3 2.3
ARENA PHARMACEUTICALS $6.20 72% -8% $159 $163 ($4) $0 336 ($0.0) -$46.8 3.5 0.5
CELERA GENOMICS GROUP $13.91 90% 42% $1,009 na na $0 na na na na na
CURAGEN CORP $7.33 100% 57% $364 $372 ($8) $150 857 ($0.0) -$93.7 4.0 0.8
DECODE GENETICS $8.19 84% 327% $442 $69 $373 $46 530 $0.7 -$40.0 1.7 1.0
EXELIXIS $7.05 72% -4% $501 $260 $241 $60 550 $0.4 -$93.6 2.8 1.1
GENAISSANCE PHARMACEUTICALS $3.00 90% 233% $69 $26 $43 $0 104 $0.4 -$15.2 1.7 0.3
GENE LOGIC $5.19 60% -21% $162 $153 $8 $1 264 $0.0 -$15.6 9.8 0.4
GENENCOR INTERNATIONAL $15.70 90% 56% $929 $144 $785 $57 1098 $0.7 na na 1.8
LARGE SCALE BIOLOGY $1.84 64% 109% $48 $11 $36 $0 114 $0.3 -$30.5 0.4 0.2
LEXICON GENETICS $5.89 79% 25% $370 $142 $227 $4 579 $0.4 -$68.6 2.1 1.1
LYNX THERAPEUTICS $6.37 75% 98% $34 $5 $30 $1 128 $0.2 -$11.2 0.4 0.3
MAXYGEN $10.63 69% 31% $371 $192 $178 $0 280 $0.6 -$22.4 8.6 0.9
NUVELO $3.50 83% 280% $267 $25 $241 $5 98 $2.5 -$64.0 0.4 1.3
PARADIGM GENETICS $1.47 76% 287% $48 $7 $40 $2 194 $0.2 -$14.4 0.5 0.5
RIGEL PHARMACEUTICALS $19.20 100% 103% $284 $12 $272 $0 160 $1.7 -$42.0 0.3 2.0
SANGAMO BIOSCIENCES $5.47 96% 48% $136 $46 $90 $0 74 $1.2 -$13.2 3.5 1.1
ZYMOGENETICS $15.50 86% 48% $813 $329 $483 $0 364 $1.3 -$52.5 6.3 1.9
Genomic Targets Average   82% 136% $354 $118 $198 $19   $0.8 -$40.4 3.0 1.0
Genomic Targets Median   84% 57% $324 $69 $178 $1   $0.4 -$35.3 2.2 1.0
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
EDEN BIOSCIENCES $1.43 64% 5% $35 $23 $12 $0 55 $0.2 -$13.2 1.7 0.3
EMBREX $13.74 94% 15% $112 $10 $103 $0 241 $0.4 na na 1.8
IDEXX LABORATORIES $46.28 94% 40% $1,613 $192 $1,421 $0 1281 $1.1 na na 4.6
IMMUCELL CORP $3.87 80% 126% $11 $4 $6 $0 26 $0.2 na na 1.1
NEOGEN $19.82 85% 65% $124 $8 $116 $0 265 $0.4 na na 5.0
Agbio/enviro. Average   83% 50% $379 $47 $332 $0   $0.5 -$13.2 1.7 2.6
Agbio/enviro. Median   85% 40% $112 $10 $103 $0   $0.4 -$13.2 1.7 1.8
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
ALEXION PHARMACEUTICALS $17.01 79% 14% $372 $279 $94 $124 172 $0.5 -$85.9 3.2 1.0
ATHEROGENICS $14.86 79% 108% $545 $61 $485 $100 85 $5.7 -$49.2 1.2 3.2
AUTOIMMUNE $1.58 70% 129% $27 $11 $16 $0 2 $7.8 -$0.6 19.4 0.2
CONNETICS CORP $18.16 94% 52% $578 $27 $551 $80 190 $2.9 -$7.2 3.8 3.4
CORTECH $2.89 88% 22% $10 ($0) $10 $0 na na -$0.3 na na
CYPRESS BIOSCIENCE $15.03 100% 447% $333 $3 $330 $0 10 $33.0 -$30.0 0.1 2.9
ICOS CORP $41.28 86% 66% $2,597 $117 $2,480 $250 525 $4.7 -$156.0 0.7 3.3
INKINE PHARMACEUTICAL CO $4.83 81% 161% $234 $12 $222 $12 49 $4.5 na na 3.6
LA JOLLA PHARMACEUTICAL CO $4.26 48% -36% $217 $51 $166 $1 156 $1.1 -$39.7 1.3 1.0
PROTEIN DESIGN LABS $17.90 87% 111% $1,678 $587 $1,090 $400 397 $2.7 -$20.0 29.4 2.7
TANOX $14.85 65% 51% $652 $216 $435 $5 127 $3.4 na na 2.1
Autoimmune Average   80% 102% $658 $124 $534 $88   $6.6 -$43.2 7.4 2.3
Autoimmune Median   81% 66% $372 $51 $330 $12   $4.0 -$30.0 2.3 2.8
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
ALLOS THERAPEUTICS $3.59 45% -51% $93 $37 $56 $0 92 $0.6 -$46.8 0.8 0.5
ANTIGENICS $11.34 71% 7% $448 $86 $361 $0 212 $1.7 -$66.4 1.3 1.3
APHTON CORP $6.00 60% 57% $172 $2 $171 $3 56 $3.0 -$32.6 na 1.3
ARIAD PHARMACEUTICALS $7.45 85% 214% $340 $17 $323 $6 52 $6.2 -$17.6 1.0 2.1
AVI BIOPHARMA $4.07 54% -20% $127 $8 $119 $0 89 $1.3 -$14.0 0.6 0.9
BIOMIRA $1.48 30% 64% $107 $78 $29 $0 115 $0.3 -$17.8 4.4 1.2
BOSTON LIFE SCIENCES $1.24 41% 15% $40 $11 $29 $0 14 $2.1 -$7.6 1.5 na
CELGENE CORP $44.88 92% 97% $3,646 $258 $3,388 $400 560 $6.0 na na 6.1
CELL THERAPEUTICS $8.67 55% 11% $295 $79 $216 $190 286 $0.8 -$122.8 0.6 0.8
CORIXA CORP $6.04 61% -10% $334 $41 $293 $106 366 $0.8 -$83.6 0.5 0.3
CYTOGEN CORP $10.88 74% 273% $140 $9 $131 $0 49 $2.7 -$7.8 1.2 0.4
DENDREON $8.06 77% 47% $361 $39 $322 $0 117 $2.7 -$33.2 1.2 2.2
DUSA PHARMACEUTICALS $5.05 74% 218% $71 $44 $26 $1 43 $0.6 -$15.2 2.9 0.7
ENTREMED $3.32 51% 257% $123 $1 $122 $0 58 $2.1 -$22.0 0.0 0.5
EXEGENICS $0.90 100% 100% $14 na na $0 8 na -$7.2 na 0.2
GENAERA $3.27 50% 554% $147 $6 $141 $0 22 $6.4 -$6.1 1.0 0.8
GENTA $10.43 59% 30% $791 $100 $691 $28 96 $7.2 -$12.6 8.0 2.4
GERON CORP $9.97 59% 183% $390 $99 $291 $16 92 $3.2 -$36.8 2.7 1.5
ILEX ONCOLOGY $21.25 95% 185% $829 $246 $583 $37 277 $2.1 -$35.2 7.0 1.8
IMCLONE SYSTEMS $39.66 81% 248% $2,973 $259 $2,714 $242 399 $6.8 -$138.0 1.9 8.6
IMMUNOGEN $5.05 84% 55% $205 $508 ($303) $0 1618 ($0.2) -$27.6 18.4 0.1
IMMUNOMEDICS $4.56 47% -16% $227 $25 $203 $0 94 $2.2 -$14.8 1.7 1.4
MAXIM PHARMACEUTICALS $8.90 100% 257% $249 $76 $173 $1 115 $1.5 -$49.6 1.5 0.7
MEDAREX $6.23 81% 50% $491 $292 $199 $175 431 $0.5 -$116.5 2.5 0.8
NAPRO BIOTHERAPEUTICS $1.97 62% 170% $61 $4 $56 $25 151 $0.4 -$8.5 0.5 0.5
NEOPHARM $18.22 94% 63% $343 $64 $279 $0 100 $2.8 -$65.6 1.0 2.0
NEORX CORP $4.16 58% 824% $116 $17 $99 $5 36 $2.7 na na 0.5
OSI PHARMACEUTICALS $32.25 84% 88% $1,254 $279 $975 $295 429 $2.3 -$300.0 0.9 1.8
OXIGENE $8.10 42% 686% $114 $9 $105 $0 10 $10.5 -$5.9 1.4 1.4
PRAECIS PHARMACEUTICALS $6.44 81% 103% $334 $166 $168 $33 110 $1.5 -$62.0 2.7 0.9
PROGENICS PHARMACEUTICALS $18.86 90% 192% $249 $77 $171 $0 100 $1.7 -$31.2 2.5 2.7
QLT INC $18.85 93% 122% $1,298 $137 $1,161 $172 336 $3.5 na na 3.3
SCICLONE PHARMACEUTICALS $6.78 69% 93% $301 $66 $235 $6 97 $2.4 -$11.4 5.8 1.9
SEATTLE GENETICS $8.58 100% 157% $265 $16 $249 $0 97 $2.6 -$22.0 0.7 2.5
SPECTRUM PHARMACEUTICALS $8.37 81% 350% $55 $3 $52 $0 18 $2.9 -$6.6 0.4 0.4
SUPERGEN $11.00 96% 296% $390 $19 $371 $8 107 $3.5 -$50.0 0.4 1.4
VERNALIS $2.39 68% 41% $80 $269 ($190) $5 96 ($2.0) -$59.4 4.5 0.1
XENOVA GROUP PLC $1.82 25% -69% $31 $29 $2 $0 134 $0.0 -$23.6 1.2 1.1
Cancer Average   70% 156% $461 $94 $379 $46   $2.6 -$45.1 2.5 1.5
Cancer Median   72% 98% $249 $44 $173 $1   $2.2 -$27.6 1.3 1.2
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
CV THERAPEUTICS $14.72 35% -26% $428 $378 $49 $196 205 $0.2 -$91.4 4.1 0.8
ENCYSIVE PHARMACEUTICALS $8.95 100% 513% $399 $82 $318 $0 104 $3.1 -$56.8 1.4 1.9
MEDICINES COMPANY $29.46 94% 82% $1,395 $136 $1,258 $0 147 $8.6 -$26.3 5.2 3.1
QUESTCOR PHARMACEUTICALS $0.74 54% -20% $33 $13 $20 $3 52 $0.4 -$8.4 1.5 0.4
Cardiovascular Average   71% 137% $564 $152 $411 $50   $3.1 -$45.7 3.1 1.5
Cardiovascular Median   74% 31% $413 $109 $183 $2   $1.7 -$41.6 2.8 1.3
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
ALBANY MOLECULAR RESEARCH $15.01 83% -1% $474 $132 $342 $66 860 $0.4 na na 2.6
ARGONAUT TECHNOLOGIES $1.76 82% 96% $36 $22 $14 $12 215 $0.1 -$7.6 2.8 0.3
ARQULE $4.88 85% 60% $137 $84 $53 $5 298 $0.2 na na 0.6
ARRAY BIOPHARMA $5.69 77% 7% $161 $35 $126 $0 245 $0.5 -$23.6 1.5 1.3
BIOCRYST PHARMACEUTICALS $6.85 73% 599% $121 $20 $102 $0 44 $2.3 -$13.0 1.5 0.9
DISCOVERY PARTNERS $6.15 91% 114% $152 $69 $82 $0 236 $0.3 -$5.2 13.3 0.8
KOSAN BIOSCIENCES $9.86 99% 62% $253 $53 $200 $0 112 $1.8 -$2.1 25.5 1.8
PHARMACOPEIA $14.23 88% 54% $339 $143 $197 $0 687 $0.3 -$14.8 9.6 1.2
SYMYX TECHNOLOGIES $20.55 80% 71% $647 $128 $520 $0 213 $2.4 na na 4.2
VERTEX PHARMACEUTICALS $10.35 55% -38% $804 $639 $165 $315 980 $0.2 -$164.0 3.9 1.0
Chemistry Average   81% 102% $313 $132 $180 $40   $0.9 -$32.9 8.3 1.5
Chemistry Median   82% 61% $207 $77 $146 $0   $0.4 -$13.0 3.9 1.1
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
ADOLOR $19.99 92% 38% $633 $241 $392 $0 124 $3.2 -$55.2 4.4 2.4
CEPHALON $48.41 88% -4% $2,694 $565 $2,129 $1,610 1271 $1.7 na na 2.6
DOV PHARMACEUTICALS $13.37 71% 88% $220 $53 $167 $14 32 $5.2 -$18.8 2.8 2.7
GUILFORD PHARMACEUTICALS $6.78 83% 73% $197 $61 $136 $64 235 $0.6 -$22.1 2.7 0.6
INDEVUS PHARMACEUTICALS $5.90 86% 174% $279 $21 $258 $72 24 $10.7 -$48.2 0.4 0.9
NEUROBIOLOGICAL TECHNOLOGIES $5.83 66% -7% $112 $4 $108 $0 11 $9.8 -$2.8 1.4 2.5
NEUROCRINE BIOSCIENCES $54.54 90% 11% $1,924 $496 $1,428 $0 276 $5.2 -$41.2 12.0 4.5
NYMOX PHARMACEUTICAL $3.38 77% -11% $81 na na $0 228 na -$4.5 na na
PAIN THERAPEUTICS $6.95 78% 196% $246 $95 $151 $0 30 $5.0 -$23.9 4.0 2.4
PHARMOS CORP $3.50 70% 221% $259 $41 $218 $42 67 $3.2 -$17.2 2.4 2.2
STEMCELLS $1.98 63% 61% $67 $2 $65 $0 28 $2.3 -$10.4 0.2 0.4
TITAN PHARMACEUTICALS $2.92 73% 100% $84 $59 $25 $0 72 $0.3 -$26.7 2.2 0.4
CNS Average   78% 78% $566 $149 $462 $150   $4.3 -$24.6 3.3 2.0
CNS Median   77% 67% $233 $59 $167 $0   $3.2 -$22.1 2.6 2.4
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
BIOSOURCE INTERNATIONAL $6.77 85% 19% $63 $4 $59 $0 296 $0.2 na na 1.4
GTC BIOTHERAPEUTICS $3.00 69% 183% $96 $42 $54 $13 182 $0.3 -$24.0 1.7 0.5
HARVARD BIOSCIENCE $8.90 100% 174% $268 $10 $258 $0 386 $0.7 na na 1.6
ICON PLC $43.60 97% 60% $590 $54 na $0 1637 na na na na
INVITROGEN CORP $69.91 100% 117% $3,795 $781 $3,015 $697 2744 $1.1 na na 2.0
MOLECULAR DEVICES CORP $18.99 90% 18% $282 $58 $224 $0 433 $0.5 na na 1.5
NEOSE TECHNOLOGIES $9.20 73% -1% $183 $42 $142 $8 124 $1.1 -$39.7 1.1 0.9
PARAXEL INTERNATIONAL $16.26 87% 38% $422 $79 $343 $1 4930 $0.1 na na 2.4
PHARMACEUTICAL PRODUCT DEVELOP $26.97 84% -9% $1,510 $203 $1,307 $6 5300 $0.2 na na 5.5
QIAGEN NV $11.96 91% 118% $1,742 $41 $1,701 $0 1651 $1.0 na na 35.1
CRO/Service/Supply Average   87% 72% $895 $131 $789 $73   $0.6 -$31.8 1.4 5.7
CRO/Service/Supply Median   89% 49% $352 $48 $258 $0   $0.5 -$31.8 1.4 1.6
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
ABGENIX $12.35 73% 65% $1,089 $280 $810 $200 387 $2.1 -$264.4 1.1 1.1
AEROGEN $2.20 34% 2% $9 $1 $8 $0 80 $0.1 -$14.6 0.1 0.1
ALKERMES $13.50 83% 118% $1,207 $128 $1,079 $385 520 $2.1 -$120.0 1.1 2.5
ANDRX $24.04 93% 66% $1,732 $81 $1,650 $0 2100 $0.8 na na 3.5
ARADIGM CORP $1.71 49% 21% $94 $29 $65 $0 285 $0.2 -$29.6 1.0 0.3
ATRIX LABORATORIES $24.04 78% 52% $516 $95 $421 $0 167 $2.5 -$2.9 33.0 2.0
BIODELIVERY SCIENCES $2.71 54% 33% $19 $5 $14 $0 19 $0.7 -$1.2 4.4 1.4
CIMA LABS $32.62 98% 31% $474 $75 $398 $0 219 $1.8 na na 2.0
DEPOMED $7.09 88% 320% $239 $46 $194 $0 51 $3.8 -$28.8 1.6 3.5
DOR  BIOPHARMA $0.78 46% 47% $27 $2 $25 $0 5 $4.9 -$3.2 0.7 0.4
DURECT $2.50 56% 26% $128 $32 $96 $50 6 $16.0 -$20.5 1.6 0.7
EMISPHERE TECHNOLOGIES $5.42 59% 48% $98 $41 $57 $34 124 $0.5 -$45.8 0.9 0.3
ENZON PHARMACEUTICALS $11.97 62% -31% $521 $140 $381 $0 127 $3.0 na na 1.9
FLAMEL TECHNOLOGIES SA $26.79 61% 539% $437 $77 $360 $2 150 $2.4 -$8.9 8.7 8.5
GENEREX BIOTECHNOLOGY $1.35 46% -5% $37 $8 $29 $2 23 $1.3 -$12.6 0.7 0.4
GENETRONICS BIOMEDICAL LTD $1.25 86% 331% $73 $1 $73 $0 26 $2.8 -$5.6 0.1 1.3
KOS PHARMACEUTICALS $43.01 90% 125% $946 $203 $743 $0 726 $1.0 na na 4.3
MACROCHEM CORP $0.85 52% 157% $28 $7 $21 $0 13 $1.6 -$2.2 3.2 0.4
MEDICIS PHARMACEUTICAL $71.30 100% 49% $1,955 $552 $1,403 $400 279 $5.0 na na 4.4
NASTECH PHARMACEUTICAL $9.61 80% 13% $114 $14 $100 $4 63 $1.6 -$11.7 1.2 1.8
NEKTAR THERAPEUTICS $13.61 88% 58% $764 $239 $525 $399 680 $0.8 -$52.0 4.6 1.0
NOVAVAX $6.00 70% 104% $181 $9 $172 $41 121 $1.4 -$20.0 0.5 1.5
NOVEN PHARMACEUTICALS $15.21 100% 58% $343 $68 $274 $0 274 $1.0 na na 4.4
SEPRACOR $23.93 73% 146% $2,031 $448 $1,583 $983 818 $1.9 -$135.2 3.3 2.6
Delivery Average   72% 99% $544 $108 $437 $104   $2.5 -$43.3 3.8 2.1
Delivery Median   73% 55% $291 $57 $234 $0   $1.7 -$17.3 1.1 1.7
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
ADVANCED MAGNETICS $13.00 85% 212% $101 $16 $85 $0 23 $3.7 na na 2.3
BIOSITE $28.95 50% -17% $451 $79 $372 $7 513 $0.7 na na 5.6
CHOLESTECH CORP $7.64 59% 14% $107 $17 $90 $0 220 $0.4 na na 1.3
DIAGNOSTIC PRODUCTS CORP $45.91 99% 20% $1,323 $49 $1,274 $0 2100 $0.6 na na 21.5
DIGENE CORP $40.10 81% 265% $751 $31 $720 $3 243 $3.0 na na 6.5
ENZO BIOCHEM $17.91 62% 19% $538 $77 $461 $0 231 $2.0 -$10.1 7.6 3.3
EPIX MEDICAL $16.28 79% 130% $359 $18 $341 $0 93 $3.7 -$13.6 1.3 3.0
EXACT SCIENCES $10.12 56% -7% $195 $27 $167 $0 75 $2.2 -$31.5 0.9 1.7
GEN-PROBE $36.47 100% 217% $1,772 $8 na $0 186 na na na na
HYCOR BIOMEDICAL $3.90 60% 103% $32 $5 $26 $0 148 $0.2 na na 2.4
IGEN INTERNATIONAL $58.87 97% 35% $1,470 $34 $1,436 $45 370 $3.9 -$28.8 1.2 6.1
IMMUCOR $20.39 84% -8% $398 $9 $389 $20 481 $0.8 na na 13.1
LUMINEX $9.38 85% 116% $284 $38 $246 $0 117 $2.1 -$7.6 4.9 2.3
MARTEK BIOSCIENCES CORP $65.09 100% 149% $1,793 $196 $1,597 $0 198 $8.1 na na 5.5
MATRITECH $1.90 63% -11% $68 $5 $63 $4 50 $1.3 -$7.2 0.7 0.9
MERIDIAN BIOSCIENCE $10.44 87% 66% $155 $5 $150 $23 350 $0.4 na na 6.5
ORASURE $7.96 73% 35% $350 $63 $286 $3 187 $1.5 na na 2.2
QUIDEL CORP $10.77 100% 199% $315 $13 $302 $10 330 $0.9 -$1.5 8.9 2.2
SONUS PHARMACEUTICALS $5.08 79% 117% $91 $11 $80 $0 37 $2.2 -$12.4 0.9 1.6
TRINITY BIOTECH PLC $5.58 100% 304% $239 $1 $238 $0 332 $0.7 na na 11.0
Diagnostic/imag. Average   80% 98% $540 $35 $438 $6   $2.0 -$14.1 3.3 5.2
Diagnostic/imag. Median   83% 85% $332 $17 $286 $0   $1.5 -$11.2 1.2 3.0
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
AASTROM BIOSCIENCES $1.33 73% 166% $95 $7 $87 $0 44 $2.0 -$11.2 0.7 0.9
AVIGEN $5.89 76% -4% $119 $98 $21 $8 102 $0.2 -$24.2 4.1 0.5
CELL GENESYS $12.79 84% 5% $507 $142 $365 $60 336 $1.1 -$76.0 1.9 1.7
CORAUTUS GENETICS $4.50 69% 114% $45 ($0) $45 $0 17 $2.7 -$11.6 (0.0) 0.7
GENVEC $3.30 73% -5% $168 $6 $162 $6 95 $1.7 -$24.0 0.2 1.5
INTROGEN $8.48 75% 320% $201 $15 $186 $7 50 $3.7 -$16.2 0.9 2.1
SIRNA THERAPEUTICS $5.20 45% 221% $164 $37 $127 $4 81 $1.6 -$31.2 1.2 0.8
TARGETED GENETICS CORP $2.19 49% 398% $145 $12 $133 $0 125 $1.1 -$3.1 3.9 0.7
TRANSGENE SA $2.57 55% 37% $78 $0 $78 $0 318 $0.2 -$20.4 0.0 na
TRANSKARYOTIC THERAPIES $15.61 100% 58% $546 $191 $355 $0 345 $1.0 -$84.0 2.3 0.8
VALENTIS $2.70 31% -61% $16 $4 $12 $0 58 $0.2 -$8.2 0.5 0.1
VICAL $4.92 63% 57% $99 $95 $4 $0 165 $0.0 -$27.6 3.4 0.5
Gene therapy Average   66% 109% $182 $51 $131 $7   $1.3 -$28.1 1.6 0.9
Gene therapy Median   71% 58% $132 $14 $107 $0   $1.1 -$22.2 1.1 0.8
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
AVANT IMMUNOTHERAPEUTICS $2.74 79% 151% $177 $17 $161 $0 66 $2.4 -$12.8 1.3 0.8
CUBIST PHARMACEUTICALS $12.20 83% 45% $488 $89 $399 $208 204 $2.0 -$100.0 0.9 1.9
EPIMMUNE $1.81 42% 81% $24 $6 $19 $0 52 $0.4 -$8.1 0.7 0.1
GENELABS TECHNOLOGIES $2.83 100% 63% $244 $28 $216 $0 94 $2.3 -$16.8 1.7 1.3
IMMUNE RESPONSE CORP $1.51 38% 66% $62 na na $5 43 na -$37.2 na 0.2
INTERMUNE $23.16 77% -17% $737 $257 $480 $150 250 $1.9 -$81.2 3.2 1.5
INTRABIOTICS $16.10 97% 363% $85 $8 $77 $0 8 $9.6 -$15.2 0.5 0.4
MEDIMMUNE $25.38 60% -11% $6,282 $581 $5,702 $717 1505 $3.8 na na 2.4
NABI BIOPHARMACEUTICALS $12.71 100% 96% $600 $145 $455 $0 722 $0.6 na na 3.7
SIGA TECHNOLOGIES $2.29 77% 52% $43 $0 $42 $0 17 $2.5 -$4.8 0.1 1.3
TRIMERIS $20.94 38% -53% $451 $122 $329 $0 129 $2.5 -$72.0 1.7 1.1
VAXGEN $7.92 37% -54% $165 $3 $162 $0 117 $1.4 -$30.1 0.1 1.0
VICURON $18.65 98% 77% $1,004 $203 $802 $0 28 $28.6 -$103.2 2.0 2.3
VION PHARMACEUTICALS $1.58 53% 339% $62 $5 $57 $0 34 $1.7 -$12.5 0.4 0.6
VIROLOGIC $3.76 100% 296% $167 $7 $160 $0 170 $0.9 -$10.8 0.7 1.3
VIROPHARMA $2.77 58% 76% $73 $137 ($65) $130 139 ($0.5) -$28.9 4.7 0.3
XOMA LTD $6.60 62% 55% $549 $99 $450 $71 229 $2.0 -$64.0 1.5 1.0
Infection Average   71% 96% $660 $107 $590 $75   $3.9 -$39.8 1.4 1.3
Infection Median   77% 66% $177 $59 $189 $0   $2.0 -$28.9 1.1 1.1
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
AMYLIN PHARMACEUTICALS $22.22 72% 29% $2,077 $418 $1,659 $175 350 $4.7 -$148.0 2.8 3.0
BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL $7.76 57% 12% $496 $155 $341 $125 219 $1.6 -$39.6 3.9 1.2
INSMED INC $2.97 79% 591% $114 $19 $95 $0 23 $4.1 -$13.0 1.4 na
KERYX BIOPHARMACEUTICALS $4.65 81% 180% $100 $21 $79 $0 24 $3.3 -$6.0 3.4 1.4
NPS PHARMACEUTICALS $30.68 92% 15% $1,132 $145 $987 $170 183 $5.4 -$256.0 0.6 2.3
SAVIENT PHARMACEUTICALS $4.61 68% 46% $274 $26 $249 $11 490 $0.5 na na 1.3
VIVUS $3.79 64% -6% $143 $20 $123 $0 119 $1.0 -$11.7 1.7 1.1
ZONAGEN $1.85 94% 91% $21 $24 ($3) $0 4 ($0.6) -$2.7 8.8 0.2
Metabolic Average   76% 120% $545 $103 $441 $60   $2.5 -$68.1 3.2 1.5
Metabolic Median   76% 37% $209 $25 $186 $6   $2.4 -$13.0 2.8 1.3
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
BIOPURE CORP $2.45 27% -40% $109 $4 $105 $10 249 $0.4 -$45.2 0.1 0.2
BIORELIANCE CORP $47.81 100% 103% $401 $39 $362 $10 638 $0.6 na na 7.1
BIOTIME $1.38 46% -8% $19 ($0) $19 $2 12 $1.6 -$3.0 (0.0) 0.6
CERUS $4.54 20% -79% $100 $134 ($34) $51 158 ($0.2) -$66.8 2.0 2.6
COLLAGENEX PHARMACEUTICALS $11.13 66% 28% $154 $11 $143 $0 148 $1.0 na na 1.8
COLUMBIA LABORATORIES $6.30 39% 89% $250 $2 $247 $10 25 $9.9 -$18.0 0.1 2.0
CURIS $4.50 76% 346% $181 $31 $150 $7 64 $2.3 -$20.2 1.6 0.3
CYANOTECH CORP $1.88 100% 506% $34 $0 $34 $4 58 $0.6 -$0.6 0.9 1.3
CYTRX CORP $1.86 50% 709% $63 $1 $62 $0 3 $20.7 -$20.2 0.0 0.8
DISCOVERY LABORATORIES $10.49 100% 271% $444 $9 $434 $0 65 $6.7 -$19.2 0.5 5.1
INSITE VISION $0.58 58% -6% $15 $0 $15 $0 41 $0.4 -$7.6 0.0 0.1
INSPIRE PHARMACEUTICALS $14.15 66% 49% $451 $99 $351 $0 54 $6.5 -$26.4 3.8 2.3
INTEGRA LIFESCIENCES $28.66 82% 65% $778 $135 $644 $105 760 $0.8 na na 2.6
NORTHFIELD LABORATORIES $6.61 66% 80% $107 $9 $97 $0 60 $1.6 -$11.6 0.8 0.9
OSTEOTECH $8.80 54% 36% $150 $17 $133 $15 338 $0.4 na na 2.4
PALATIN TECHNOLOGIES $2.50 42% 39% $112 $19 $93 $0 46 $2.0 -$25.6 0.7 1.0
PHARMACYCLICS $7.41 80% 118% $120 $87 $33 $0 133 $0.3 -$30.1 2.9 0.4
REPLIGEN CORP $4.37 52% 62% $131 $15 $115 $0 39 $2.9 -$8.1 1.9 0.8
SALIX PHARMACEUTICALS $22.68 100% 204% $497 $33 $464 $0 135 $3.4 -$28.0 1.2 3.8
TRIPOS $6.69 68% -7% $60 $11 $49 $4 337 $0.1 na na 1.7
Other Average   65% 128% $209 $33 $176 $11   $3.1 -$22.0 1.1 1.9
Other Median   66% 64% $125 $13 $110 $1   $1.3 -$20.2 0.8 1.5
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
AMGEN $61.79 85% 22% $79,706 $5,369 $74,337 $3,056 10100 $7.4 na na 4.1
BIOGEN IDEC $36.70 73% 5% $12,023 $2,394 $9,629 $908 3628 $2.7 na na 6.6
CHIRON CORP $56.98 100% 45% $10,696 $905 $9,792 $564 4044 $2.4 na na 4.4
GENENTECH $93.57 100% 168% $48,956 $1,217 $47,738 $0 5252 $9.1 na na 7.4
GENZYME CORP $49.29 94% 55% $11,048 $546 $10,502 $600 5600 $1.9 na na 3.9
GILEAD SCIENCES $58.28 83% 65% $11,802 $712 $11,090 $595 1250 $8.9 na na 11.6
Revenue-driven Average   89% 60% $29,038 $1,857 $27,181 $954   $5.4 na na 6.3
Revenue-driven Median   90% 50% $11,912 $1,061 $10,796 $598   $5.0 na na 5.5
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
DIVERSA $9.25 77% -7% $398 $142 $256 $11 279 $0.9 -$50.4 2.8 1.2
DYAX $8.15 100% 397% $201 $66 $135 $18 244 $0.6 -$24.4 2.7 1.3
ISIS PHARMACEUTICALS $6.50 81% -6% $361 $246 $115 $200 523 $0.2 -$93.2 2.6 0.6
LIGAND PHARMACEUTICALS $14.69 89% 146% $1,074 $22 $1,052 $159 402 $2.6 -$48.0 0.5 1.6
NEUROGEN CORP $8.41 71% 116% $151 $63 $88 $14 163 $0.5 -$31.2 2.0 0.9
ONYX PHARMACEUTICALS $28.23 93% 362% $830 $102 $727 $0 89 $8.2 -$45.6 2.2 4.2
REGENERON PHARMACEUTICALS $14.71 66% -25% $813 $283 $530 $200 266 $2.0 -$114.8 2.5 1.3
TULARIK $16.12 100% 102% $957 $237 $720 $0 430 $1.7 -$103.6 2.3 2.3
Screening Average   84% 136% $598 $145 $453 $75   $2.1 -$63.9 2.2 1.7
Screening Median   85% 109% $606 $122 $393 $16   $1.3 -$49.2 2.4 1.3
                         
Company 12/31/03 Close % 52wk High % change 12/26/02 Market Cap ($M) Pro forma cash ($M) Tech Value ($M) LT Debt plus Convert # of Staff Tech Value/ Staff ($M) Est. Burn Rate ($M) Survival Index (Yrs) Equity Multiple
CARRINGTON LABORATORIES $4.12 64% 312% $42 $2 $40 $2 252 $0.2 -$1.2 1.7 0.8
CELLEGY PHARMACEUTICALS $3.11 51% -29% $62 $7 $55 $0 23 $2.4 -$18.3 0.4 0.6
CURATIVE HEALTH SERVICES $13.80 70% -20% $177 $5 $172 $24 340 $0.5 na na 1.7
LIFECELL CORP $6.20 84% 110% $158 $6 $152 $1 155 $1.0 na na 2.0
LIFECORE BIOMEDICAL $6.02 65% -26% $78 $3 $75 $6 199 $0.4 -$2.3 1.2 1.6
Wound Average   67% 70% $103 $5 $99 $7   $0.9 -$7.3 1.1 1.3
Wound Median   65% -20% $78 $5 $75 $2   $0.5 -$2.3 1.2 1.6
                         
Grand Average   76% 110% $1,171 $146 $1,044 $73   $2.4 -$40.1 2.8 2.2
Grand Median   79% 66% $265 $51 $189 $1   $1.5 -$25.6 1.7 1.4



originally published 01/16/2004


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